What Are the Best MLB Prop Bets for July 6th, 2025?

Shohei Ohtanis consistent elite offensive production makes him a prime candidate to exceed 1.5 total bases in nearly any matchup. DeepChamp AIs analytical model projects a robust 68.3% win probability for this specific prop, signaling high confidence in Ohtanis ability to deliver.

With an impressive 5.1% edge, this bet offers significant value over the market consensus, suggesting a favorable return on investment. This aligns with DeepChamp AIs core principle of identifying mispriced opportunities.

Despite Ohtanis dominance, theres always a risk of an unexpected off-day or facing an exceptionally sharp pitching performance. Strategic intentional walks or limited plate appearances in a blowout scenario could reduce opportunities for total bases.

Based on the compelling win probability, significant edge, and high-value rating, DeepChamp AI recommends confidently taking Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand boasts a strong season average of 0.5588 RBIs per game, derived from his 19 RBIs in 34 appearances. DeepChamp AIs analysis calculates his true probability of securing at least one RBI at 42.85% based on historical performance.

The current market odds of +220 imply a probability of just 31.25%, indicating a notable discrepancy in valuation. This significant difference generates an 11.6% edge, highlighted by DeepChamp AIs models.

However, RBIs are highly dependent on teammates reaching base ahead of Encarnacion-Strand, introducing variability beyond his individual performance. Game flow or pinch-hitting scenarios could also limit opportunities.

DeepChamp AI strongly recommends betting on Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 RBIs due to the substantial and statistically validated 11.6% positive edge, representing a high-value opportunity.

Alec Bohm faces rookie RHP Chase Burns, who has an alarming 13.50 ERA and 2.44 WHIP, making him highly vulnerable. Citizens Bank Park significantly boosts right-handed power by 11%, aligning perfectly with Bohms hitting profile.

Bohm is in solid recent form, exceeding 1.5 total bases in 50% of his last 10 games, including 3 extra-base hits against right-handed starters. DeepChamp AI projects a 55.0% win probability for this prop.

While Bohms 32% career ground ball rate helps reduce double-play risk, any unexpected decline in form or a sharp change in pitcher performance could impact the outcome. Strong relief appearances could also limit opportunities.

DeepChamp AI recommends the Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Total Bases prop as a strong play with clear positive expected value. This bet offers a robust 5.0% edge and a high confidence level for success.

Mookie Betts has been confirmed as an active player and is expected to be a primary contributor for the Los Angeles Dodgers. The selected prop, Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Total Bases, is readily available with competitive odds of -110.

This wager aligns with DeepChamp AIs rigorous selection criteria, boasting a projected win probability of 55.0% and an advantageous edge of 2.6% over the implied odds. This reflects Betts consistent elite performance.

The projection for total bases, while based on season averages, may not fully account for day-to-day variance or specific game situations that could limit at-bats. Unexpected factors such as late-game substitutions or exceptional pitching could also impact the outcome.

Given Mookie Betts consistent offensive output, the favorable statistical projection relative to the betting line, and the calculated value edge, DeepChamp AI recommends confidently backing the Over 1.5 Total Bases prop.

Courtney Williams maintains a stable 22.3% usage rate, serving as a reliable secondary creator for the Sky, consistently generating shot volume. She has averaged 14.2 points per game over her last 5 contests, indicating strong recent form.

DeepChamp AIs analysis projects a 55.2% win probability for this prop, significantly higher than the 50% implied by +100 odds. This translates to a strong 5.2% edge.

The Minnesota Lynx allow the 4th-fewest assists to opposing shooting guards, which could indirectly limit Williams overall offensive impact. Her low career 3-point percentage against Minnesota is also a risk.

DeepChamp AI recommends betting Over 12.5 Points for Courtney Williams at +100 odds, leveraging her consistent usage, recent scoring form, and a statistically advantageous matchup identified by our models.

Drake Baldwin is projected by DeepChamp AI to successfully exceed 1.5 total bases, presenting a win probability of 50.0% against the implied probability of 46.5% derived from the +115 odds. This indicates a favorable discrepancy.

A significant 3.5% edge has been identified for this prop, fulfilling DeepChamp AIs stringent selection criteria for profitable betting opportunities. Truist Park, known as a hitter-friendly ballpark (ranked 5th for home runs in 2024), is expected to enhance opportunities.

Specific detailed pitcher matchup data for Drake Baldwin was not available, which could introduce an unforeseen variable if the opposing pitcher proves exceptionally challenging. Any unexpected late scratch or reduced playing time could also impact his opportunities.

DeepChamp AI highly recommends the Over 1.5 Total Bases for Drake Baldwin. This bet offers compelling value and aligns with his statistical profile and the favorable playing conditions at Truist Park.

Drake Baldwin demonstrates strong statistical support with a 73.0% win probability for exceeding 0.5 hits, indicating a high likelihood of success for this prop. This is a high-confidence play from DeepChamp AI.

The prop offers a significant 8.09% edge against the FanDuel line of -185, signaling a favorable discrepancy between true probability and implied odds. Valued at an 8/10 rating, this bet represents a substantial expected return.

While Baldwin maintains a solid .279 batting average, any single game can present variance where a hit might not materialize, especially if he faces a particularly dominant pitcher. The specific opposing pitcher is not detailed, posing a minor risk.

Given the compelling statistical edge identified by DeepChamp AI, Drake Baldwins confirmed lineup spot, and his consistent hitting form, placing a wager on Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 Hits at -185 odds on FanDuel is highly recommended.

The primary recommendation targets CJ Abrams to exceed 1.5 Total Bases in todays matchup. Abrams demonstrates consistent offensive production, averaging 1.93 total bases per game (147 TB in 76 games), positioning him well above the prop line.

The betting odds for this prop are +120, indicating an implied probability of 45.45%, suggesting market undervaluation compared to DeepChamp AIs adjusted true probability of 49.0%. This creates a 3.55% edge.

The main risk lies in CJ Abrams facing Bostons elite starting pitcher, Garrett Crochet, whose low Batting Average Against (.208) and high strikeout rate could limit Abrams opportunities for extra-base hits. Unexpected game situations could also reduce plate appearances.

Based on a calculated positive edge of 3.55% and an adjusted true win probability of 49.0%, DeepChamp AI identifies CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases at +120 odds as an optimal betting opportunity. This play offers compelling value.