Expert-Grade NFL & MLB Prop Selections: September 9th, 2025

Jonathan Taylor is positioned for a strong performance, particularly in the red zone, making an Anytime Touchdown a compelling bet at +100 odds. His established role as the primary ball carrier for the Indianapolis Colts, a team that has demonstrated significant offensive firepower by scoring 33 points in their last outing and ranking 4th nationally in yards per game, provides a solid foundation for this wager. The Colts offense is built to sustain drives and find the end zone, and Taylor is the focal point of their rushing attack. The matchup against the Denver Broncos presents a clear exploitable vulnerability.

The Broncos defense ranks 29th in turnover differential and allows an average of 20 points per game, indicating a susceptibility to opposing offenses consistently moving the ball and scoring. This defensive weakness creates a favorable environment for Taylor to find scoring opportunities, especially given his substantial workload. Taylors usage in the previous game, with 18 carries for 71 yards, underscores his foundational role in the Colts offensive scheme. This consistent volume, averaging 18 carries per game on the season, ensures he will be the primary option for crucial goal-line carries.

The fact that this game is played indoors, in a dome, eliminates weather as a factor, allowing the Colts to execute their game plan without impediment and maximizing Taylors rushing opportunities. Considering the Colts are projected to score between 24-28 points against a struggling Broncos defense, Taylor is poised to be involved in multiple legitimate scoring opportunities. Even with a moderate risk of a blowout (estimated at 30%), Taylor is expected to maintain his critical goal-line responsibilities, mitigating the impact of any reduced snaps in the fourth quarter. This bet capitalizes on Taylors consistent workload, his importance in the red zone, and a favorable matchup against a defense that has shown significant deficiencies.

Pete Alonso is an outstanding candidate to drive in at least one run today, with his Over 0.5 RBIs prop offering significant value at -110 odds. His season-long performance, marked by 38 home runs and an impressive .875 OPS, highlights his consistent ability to generate offensive production. Crucially, his .275 batting average with runners in scoring position demonstrates his clutch hitting capabilities, directly translating to RBI opportunities when the situation calls for it. The surrounding Mets lineup further bolsters Alonsos RBI potential.

The top three hitters in the Mets order boast a combined .340 On-Base Percentage (OBP), meaning Alonso is frequently coming to the plate with runners already on base, maximizing his chances to drive them in. This offensive support creates a consistent stream of RBI opportunities throughout the game. Furthermore, Alonso historically thrives at Citizens Bank Park, the venue for todays game. His career performance there, with a .950 OPS and an average of 1.1 RBIs per game, indicates a strong affinity for the ballparks dimensions and conditions.

Todays game script, with clear skies and a light breeze favoring right-handed power hitters, plays directly into Alonsos strengths and enhances his chances of extra-base hits and RBIs. The matchup against the Phillies probable starter, who carries a 4.88 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP, suggests a pitcher who is prone to allowing baserunners and hittable pitches. This pitchers tendency to give up home runs (1.8 HR/9) is particularly relevant, as it aligns perfectly with Alonsos power profile and increases the likelihood of a multi-run hit or a solo home run that still counts as an RBI. Alonsos recent form is also exceptional, slashing .320/.400/.650 over his last 7 games with 3 home runs and 9 RBIs.

He has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of those 7 games, showcasing his current ability to capitalize on scoring chances. This combination of season-long prowess, situational advantages, favorable park factors, and recent hot hitting makes the Over 0.5 RBIs prop a high-confidence play.

Brock Bowers presents a compelling value proposition for an Anytime Touchdown bet at +195 odds, boasting a significant 12.1% edge over the implied probability. His Week 1 performance, where he erupted for 103 receiving yards, immediately established him as a pivotal receiving threat within the Las Vegas Raiders offense. This high usage and immediate impact suggest he is a primary target for quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, especially in critical situations. The game script is also leaning in favor of Bowers finding the end zone.

With the Los Angeles Chargers only favored by 3.5 points, the Raiders are expected to maintain a pass-heavy approach to stay competitive. The Raiders offense, which ranked 7th in the league, is projected for around 35 pass attempts, creating ample opportunities for Bowers to be involved in the passing game, including potential red-zone targets. Bowers is projected to play a substantial role, with an estimated 80% of offensive snaps. This high snap count is crucial for an Anytime Touchdown prop, as it guarantees consistent presence on the field and increased chances to be in a position to score.

His immediate high production without a touchdown in Week 1 strongly indicates that red zone opportunities are likely to follow, and his efficiency in converting targets into yards is evident. While specific matchup data against the Chargers tight end defense isnt detailed, the general trend in the NFL is that dynamic tight ends can find favorable matchups. The Chargers pass defense, not being ranked among the top-tier units, suggests there could be exploitable areas for a talent like Bowers. His role as a primary receiving option, particularly on third downs and in the red zone, is expected to be heavily utilized by the Raiders coaching staff.

The moderate blowout risk (approximately 25%) is a consideration, but Bowers established role as a key receiving threat should ensure he remains a target even if the Raiders are trailing. His immediate integration into the offense and the favorable game script make this +195 price point an attractive opportunity for a touchdown score.