Expert-Grade NFL & NBA Prop Selections: October 25th, 2025

Josh Jacobs stands out as a prime candidate for an Anytime Touchdown given his pivotal role within the Green Bay Packers offensive scheme and the specific vulnerabilities of the Pittsburgh Steelers defense. Jacobs has been fully activated and removed from the injury report, signaling his complete readiness to handle a workhorse load. This is crucial as the Packers look to establish a consistent ground game. The potential absence of star edge rusher T.J. Watt for the Steelers is a significant factor, as Watts disruptive presence often stifles opposing run games and pressures the quarterback.

Without him, the Packers offensive line, and specifically Jacobs, should find more favorable matchups and clearer paths to the end zone. The injury concerns surrounding other key Packers offensive players, namely wide receiver Christian Watson and kicker Brandon McManus, further consolidate scoring opportunities around Jacobs. In situations where passing game options are limited or uncertain, the ball is often funneled to the primary running back, especially in short-yardage and red-zone situations. Jacobs established role as the teams lead back ensures he will be the primary beneficiary of these opportunities, making him the most probable player to cross the goal line for Green Bay. Jacobs usage is expected to be substantial, particularly in critical junctures of the game.

His ability to grind out tough yards and finish runs makes him a consistent threat near the goal line. The Steelers defense, while generally stout, could be significantly hampered by the potential loss of Watt, creating more open lanes and reducing the overall pressure on the Packers offense. This combination of Jacobs guaranteed volume and a compromised opposing defense creates a strong probability for him to find the end zone. Ultimately, the value on Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown prop is amplified by the confluence of his confirmed availability, his central role in a developing Packers offense, and the significant injury concerns plaguing the Steelers defensive front. This prop offers a higher degree of confidence compared to other Packers players whose statuses are uncertain, making it a standout selection.

The Over 1.5 Field Goals Made prop for Pittsburgh Steelers kicker Chris Boswell presents a compelling case, largely driven by the projected game script and the offensive tendencies of the Steelers. Pittsburghs offense has been characterized as unreliable, which, while a negative for overall scoring, often translates into a higher volume of field goal attempts. When drives stall in the red zone or just outside of it, a reliable kicker like Boswell becomes a crucial outlet for points. This scenario is precisely what we anticipate in a close, moderate-scoring contest.

The games projected total of 44.5 points, with some models even pushing it to 47 combined points, indicates a contest where neither team is expected to run away with it. This moderate scoring environment is conducive to a higher number of field goal attempts for both sides, but particularly for a team whose offense struggles to consistently convert red-zone opportunities into touchdowns. The Steelers are likely to move the ball at times but find themselves settling for three points more often than seven. Boswell is the primary kicking option for the Steelers, and his role becomes even more critical when the offense faces challenges sustaining drives.

The focus on his prop, with limited other Steelers player props available, underscores the expectation that the kicking game will be a significant factor. This suggests that the Steelers will rely on Boswell to chip away at the scoreboard, especially if they find themselves trailing or in a tight contest where every point matters. In summary, the combination of an unreliable offense prone to stalling in scoring territory, a projected close and moderate-scoring game, and Boswells established role as the teams primary and sole available kicking prop makes the Over 1.5 Field Goals Made a strong proposition. The Steelers will likely need Boswells leg to keep pace in what is expected to be a hard-fought game.

Nikola Jokics Over 9.5 Assists prop is an exceptionally strong play, anchored by his consistent elite playmaking and a highly favorable matchup against an injury-depleted Phoenix Suns defense. Jokic is currently averaging a remarkable 10.0 assists per game, already surpassing the 9.5 line. This indicates that his current statistical output naturally trends towards exceeding this assist total, making the Over the logical choice based on current form alone. The Suns defensive unit is significantly weakened due to the absence of key players, notably Jalen Green. This deficiency directly impacts their ability to effectively guard opposing playmakers and limit distribution.

Jokic, as the primary facilitator for the Denver Nuggets, thrives in such environments where defensive breakdowns create more passing opportunities. The altitude advantage in Denver also plays a subtle role, often contributing to a more fluid and energetic home performance for the Nuggets, which can translate into higher assist numbers for their star center. The projected competitive game script is also a crucial factor. A close contest ensures that Jokic will likely play his full average of 35.0 minutes, maximizing his opportunities to rack up assists throughout the game. A blowout scenario could lead to reduced minutes in the fourth quarter, but this is not anticipated here.

The moderate pace of play from both teams suggests a typical number of possessions, providing ample chances for Jokic to orchestrate the offense and find open teammates. Furthermore, the odds of +107 offer significant value. This translates to a calculated 54.2% True Probability against an implied probability of 51.4%, yielding a substantial 5.9% edge. This edge, combined with Jokics consistent performance and the favorable matchup, makes this prop a high-confidence selection. His recent history of career-high assist averages further underscores his sustained elite playmaking ability, minimizing concerns about regression.