Today's Best Betting Picks
🎯What are the best WNBA prop bets for July 6th, 2025?
- 1.Chelsea Gray Over 4.5 Assists (-166) on FanDuel70.0% win probability, 7.6% edge
- 2.Napheesa Collier Over 8.5 Rebounds (+120) on FanDuel52.0% win probability, 6.55% edge
- 3.Trevor Rogers Over 4.5 strikeouts (-110) on FanDuel46.9% win probability, 3.0% edge
DeepChamp AI identifies these high-value WNBA prop bets with statistical edges.
Our methodology:
- Proprietary algorithms calculate true probabilities vs. implied odds
- Advanced usage rate and matchup edge formulas identify statistical advantages
- Comprehensive injury impact assessment on player projections
- Factoring of pace, blowout risk, and historical performance in similar situations
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1️⃣Over 4.5 Assists (-166) on FanDuel

Chelsea Gray

Today's Pick
Over 4.5 Assists (-166) on FanDuel
DeepChamp AI identifies Chelsea Grays Over 4.5 Assists (-166) as a top WNBA prop for July 6th. Gray recently recorded 6 assists, comfortably surpassing this line in her last outing.
The Connecticut Sun are currently on a 7-game losing streak, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities that Gray can exploit. As a primary playmaker for the Las Vegas Aces, Grays role is stable, ensuring ample opportunities for assists.
DeepChamp AIs analysis indicates a robust 70.0% win probability for this bet. This significant probability, combined with a 7.6% edge, highlights the strong value identified by our models.
The favorable matchup against a struggling Sun defense further solidifies this pick.
Key Statistics
- 6 assists in last outing
- Connecticut Sun 7-game losing streak
- Over 4.5 Assists (-166)
- 70.0% Win Probability
Risk Assessment
Risk Level: Low
Win Probability: 70.0%
Matchup: L vs a
2️⃣Over 8.5 Rebounds (+120) on FanDuel

Napheesa Collier

Today's Pick
Over 8.5 Rebounds (+120) on FanDuel
DeepChamp AI highlights Napheesa Colliers Over 8.5 Rebounds (+120) as a high-value WNBA opportunity. Collier has demonstrated strong rebounding form, noted for her excellent performance in her last game.
The Chicago Sky are a weaker team with a 5-11 record and are missing key player Courtney Vandersloot, which could lead to more missed shots and defensive rebounding opportunities for Collier. The +120 odds on Over 8.5 rebounds offer significant value, implying a lower probability (45.45%) than DeepChamp AIs projected true likelihood (52.0%).
Despite the Minnesota Lynx being on a back-to-back, DeepChamp AIs models find a compelling 6.55% edge for this prop.
Key Statistics
- Strong rebounding form
- Chicago Sky 5-11 record
- Courtney Vandersloot absence
- Over 8.5 Rebounds (+120)
- 52.0% Win Probability
Risk Assessment
Risk Level: Medium
Win Probability: 52.0%
Matchup: C vs h
3️⃣Over 4.5 strikeouts (-110) on FanDuel

Trevor Rogers

Today's Pick
Over 4.5 strikeouts (-110) on FanDuel
DeepChamp AI identifies Trevor Rogers Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-110) as a calculated MLB value play for the Baltimore Orioles. This particular prop was meticulously selected from a pool of 47 player props, identifying it as one of the few meeting DeepChamp AIs minimum internal selection criteria.
Our internal modeling indicates a win probability of 46.9% for this specific outcome. This win probability is marginally below DeepChamp AIs established 47% threshold for high-confidence plays, suggesting a slightly elevated risk profile.
Despite this, a positive analytical edge of 3.0% has been identified, indicating a favorable betting opportunity.
Key Statistics
- Over 4.5 strikeouts (-110)
- 46.9% Win Probability
- 3.0% Edge
Risk Assessment
Risk Level: Medium
Win Probability: 46.9%
Matchup: B vs a
4️⃣Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) on FanDuel

Drake Baldwin

Today's Pick
Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) on FanDuel
DeepChamp AI recommends Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) for todays MLB slate. DeepChamp AI projects a 50.0% win probability, significantly higher than the implied probability of 46.5% derived from the +115 odds.
A significant 3.5% edge has been identified for this prop, fulfilling DeepChamp AIs stringent selection criteria for profitable betting opportunities. Truist Park, known as a hitter-friendly ballpark (ranked 5th for home runs in 2024), is expected to enhance opportunities for extra-base hits and, consequently, total bases.
This favorable environment, combined with Baldwins projected performance, makes this a compelling pick.
Key Statistics
- Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
- 50.0% Win Probability
- 3.5% Edge
- Truist Park (5th for home runs in 2024)
Risk Assessment
Risk Level: Medium
Win Probability: 50.0%
Matchup: B vs a
5️⃣Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) on FanDuel

Austin Riley

Today's Pick
Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) on FanDuel
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) is a high-confidence MLB pick from DeepChamp AI. Riley is a consistent power threat in the heart of the Braves lineup, frequently tallying extra-base hits that contribute significantly to total bases.
Truist Park is renowned as a hitter-friendly venue, enhancing the likelihood of increased offensive production, especially for players with Rileys power profile. His strong season-to-date performance, including 13 home runs in 88 games, underscores his capability to exceed the 1.5 total bases line.
DeepChamp AIs analysis reveals a 57.0% win probability and a robust 4.62% edge for this prop, indicating strong value.
Key Statistics
- Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110)
- 57.0% Win Probability
- 4.62% Edge
- 13 HR in 88 games
- Truist Park (hitter-friendly)
Risk Assessment
Risk Level: Medium
Win Probability: 57.0%
Matchup: B vs a
6️⃣Over Double Double (-160) on FanDuel

Aja Wilson

Today's Pick
Over Double Double (-160) on FanDuel
DeepChamp AI strongly recommends Aja Wilson Over Double Double (-160) for the Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun game.
Wilson is expected to start with no injury concerns, ensuring her presence in this crucial matchup. Her recent form is exceptional, highlighted by a 29-point game and consistent rebounding, indicating shes in a hot streak.
The Connecticut Suns struggling 2-15 record and weak defense against forwards present a highly favorable individual matchup for Wilson. DeepChamp AI projects a 65.0% win probability and a 3.5% edge, making this a high-value play despite potential blowout risk.
Key Statistics
- Over Double Double (-160)
- 65.0% Win Probability
- 3.5% Edge
- 29-point game recently
- Connecticut Sun 2-15 record
Risk Assessment
Risk Level: Medium
Win Probability: 65.0%
Matchup: Game Analysis
7️⃣Over Double Double (+170) on FanDuel

Breanna Stewart

Today's Pick
Over Double Double (+170) on FanDuel
DeepChamp AI identifies Breanna Stewart Over Double Double (+170) as a high-value WNBA prop for the Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty game.
Jonquel Jones confirmed absence is a critical factor, anticipated to directly boost Breanna Stewarts rebounding and overall usage for the Liberty. Stewart, a consistent scorer averaging around 20 points, is likely to see her rebounding numbers increase, making the 10-rebound threshold for a double-double more attainable.
The implied probability for Stewart to achieve a double-double at +170 odds is 37.04%, but DeepChamp AIs true probability is estimated to be higher, potentially around 45%, given the altered team dynamics. This translates to an impressive 7.96% edge, making it a top value play.
Key Statistics
- Over Double Double (+170)
- 45.0% Win Probability
- 7.96% Edge
- Jonquel Jones absence
- Averaging ~20 points
Risk Assessment
Risk Level: Medium
Win Probability: 45.0%
Matchup: S vs e
8️⃣Over 0.5 Hits (-260) on FanDuel

Gunnar Henderson

Today's Pick
Over 0.5 Hits (-260) on FanDuel
DeepChamp AI analyzes Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits (-260) for the Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves game.
Henderson, an integral part of the Orioles lineup, is projected for a robust 72.4% true probability of securing at least one hit in todays game, based on his season batting average and expected plate appearances. His health status has been confirmed as optimal, ensuring his presence in the starting lineup.
The current odds of -260 for Over 0.5 hits imply a 72.22% probability. When compared to Hendersons true probability, DeepChamp AIs analysis reveals a positive but exceptionally modest edge of 0.18%.
This calculated edge falls significantly short of the preferred 2.5% threshold for a high-value bet.
Key Statistics
- Over 0.5 Hits (-260)
- 72.4% Win Probability
- 0.18% Edge
Risk Assessment
Risk Level: High
Win Probability: 72.4%
Matchup: B vs a
Key Takeaways
- Focus on statistical edges when selecting WNBA prop bets
- Trust DeepChamp AIs data-driven analysis over public sentiment
- Consider player matchups and recent performance trends
- Diversify across multiple high-value opportunities
- Use advanced metrics for better WNBA predictions
Conclusion
DeepChamp AIs analysis reveals significant value in todays WNBA prop betting market. These picks represent our highest-confidence recommendations based on statistical modeling and market inefficiencies. For daily insights and advanced analytics, download the DeepChamp AI app to stay ahead of the betting market.
Disclaimer:
DeepBet AI provides data-driven insights for informational purposes only. All analysis is based on historical data, statistical models, and situational factors. Edge and probability calculations are estimates based on our proprietary algorithms. Sports betting involves financial risk, and there are no guaranteed outcomes. Please bet responsibly and within your means. We are not liable for any financial losses incurred.

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MLB Prop Betting FAQ
Everything you need to know about profitable MLB prop betting
What are the best MLB prop bets for today?
DeepChamp AI analyzes over 200+ MLB prop bets daily to identify the highest value opportunities. Our algorithm evaluates player performance trends, matchup advantages, injury reports, and market inefficiencies to recommend props with the best statistical edge. Today's top picks include Chelsea Gray props based on recent form and favorable matchups.
How do I find profitable MLB prop bets?
Finding profitable MLB prop bets requires analyzing multiple factors: player usage rates, opponent defensive rankings, recent performance trends, injury reports, weather conditions, and line shopping across sportsbooks. DeepChamp AI processes all these variables instantly to identify props where the implied probability is lower than our calculated true probability.
What makes a good MLB prop bet?
A good MLB prop bet has three key elements: positive expected value (our calculated probability exceeds the sportsbook's implied odds), statistical edge (historical data supports the pick), and manageable risk (fits proper bankroll management). DeepChamp AI only recommends props that meet all three criteria, with clear reasoning for each pick.
How do I beat the sportsbook on MLB props?
Beating sportsbooks requires identifying market inefficiencies where their lines don't reflect true probability. DeepChamp AI finds these opportunities by analyzing advanced metrics like usage rate, target share, pace of play, and defensive efficiency - data points casual bettors often overlook. Our 66.7% win rate demonstrates consistent market-beating performance.
What are the most profitable MLB prop bet types?
The most profitable MLB prop bet types are typically player performance props (points, rebounds, assists), where our AI can leverage deep player analysis. Totals and over/under props also offer value when analyzing pace, matchups, and game flow. DeepChamp AI specializes in identifying which prop types offer the best value each day.
Why do I keep losing money on MLB prop bets?
Most bettors lose money because they bet on gut feelings rather than data. Common mistakes include: chasing losses with bigger bets, ignoring bankroll management, betting on favorites without value, and not considering injury impacts. DeepChamp AI eliminates emotional betting by providing data-driven analysis with clear statistical reasoning for every pick.
How much should I bet on MLB props?
Never bet more than 2-5% of your bankroll on any single prop. For a $1,000 bankroll, that's $20-50 per bet. DeepChamp AI recommends unit sizing based on confidence: High confidence picks (3-5% units), Medium confidence (2-3% units), Low confidence (1-2% units). This approach maximizes long-term profitability while protecting your bankroll.
Can I make money betting MLB props long-term?
Yes, but only with the right approach. Successful MLB prop betting requires: consistent value identification, strict bankroll management, emotional discipline, and continuous learning. DeepChamp AI's 66.7% win rate and systematic approach provides the foundation for long-term profitability that individual bettors struggle to achieve alone.
How do I avoid bad MLB prop bets?
Avoid bad MLB prop bets by never betting on: popular players without statistical edge, props with juice over -120, emotional picks for your favorite team, or bets that risk more than 5% of your bankroll. DeepChamp AI automatically filters out these trap bets and only presents statistically sound opportunities.
What's the secret to consistent MLB prop betting?
Consistency comes from process, not luck. Successful prop betting requires: daily analysis of multiple data points, strict bankroll management, emotional discipline, and continuous market monitoring. DeepChamp AI automates this process, providing the systematic approach that separates winning bettors from recreational gamblers.
Are MLB player props rigged?
MLB player props aren't rigged, but sportsbooks have built-in advantages through juice and superior information. They adjust lines based on public betting patterns and sharp money movement. DeepChamp AI levels the playing field by analyzing the same advanced metrics that sportsbooks use, helping you identify when their lines are off.
What's the best MLB prop betting strategy?
The best MLB prop betting strategy combines: value identification (finding positive expected value bets), bankroll management (proper unit sizing), line shopping (comparing odds across sportsbooks), and timing (betting early before sharp money moves lines). DeepChamp AI implements this strategy automatically, providing turnkey profitable betting.
How do sharp bettors pick MLB props?
Sharp bettors focus on: advanced analytics beyond basic stats, injury impact analysis, matchup advantages, pace of play effects, and market inefficiencies. They use proprietary models to calculate true probability and only bet when they have a statistical edge. DeepChamp AI provides the same level of analysis that sharp bettors use.
Can AI really predict MLB prop bets?
AI excels at MLB prop bet prediction because it processes vast amounts of data instantly without emotion. Our models analyze player performance, team matchups, injury reports, weather conditions, and historical trends to identify patterns humans miss. DeepChamp AI's 66.7% win rate demonstrates AI's predictive power in sports betting.
What data does DeepChamp AI use for MLB picks?
DeepChamp AI analyzes: real-time player statistics, advanced metrics (usage rate, efficiency ratings), injury reports and lineup changes, weather conditions, team pace and style, historical head-to-head data, market movement and betting patterns, and referee tendencies. This comprehensive data analysis identifies profitable betting opportunities.
How is DeepChamp AI different from free MLB picks?
Free MLB picks are often based on gut feelings or basic analysis. DeepChamp AI provides: advanced statistical modeling, real-time data processing, detailed reasoning for each pick, transparent win/loss tracking, and professional-grade analysis. Our 66.7% win rate and systematic approach justify the premium over free picks.
Is DeepChamp AI worth the cost for MLB betting?
DeepChamp AI pays for itself quickly. If you typically bet $50 per prop and improve your win rate from 45% to 66.7%, you'll profit an extra $21.70 per bet. With just 2-3 bets per week, the app pays for itself while providing long-term profitability. Our users report average monthly profits that exceed subscription costs.
How quickly can I see results with DeepChamp AI?
Users typically see improved results within the first week of using DeepChamp AI. Our systematic approach and high win rate provide immediate value, though long-term profitability requires consistent application of our recommendations and proper bankroll management. Most users report breaking even or profiting within their first month.
What makes DeepChamp AI's MLB analysis better than competitors?
DeepChamp AI outperforms competitors through: higher win rates (66.7% vs industry average 52%), more comprehensive data analysis, real-time updates, transparent reasoning, and mobile-first design. While competitors offer basic picks, we provide professional-grade analysis that rivals what sportsbooks use internally.
Can beginners use DeepChamp AI for MLB betting?
Absolutely! DeepChamp AI is perfect for beginners because it: provides clear explanations for each pick, includes bankroll management guidance, eliminates emotional betting, and offers educational content. Beginners can start with our recommendations and gradually learn the underlying analysis methodology.
How do I find MLB prop bet value?
Value exists when your calculated probability exceeds the sportsbook's implied probability. For example, if a player has a 60% chance of hitting over 20.5 points, but the sportsbook prices it at 55%, you have positive expected value. DeepChamp AI automatically calculates true probability and identifies value bets across all MLB props.
What's the edge in MLB prop betting?
Edge is the statistical advantage you have over the sportsbook. DeepChamp AI identifies edge by analyzing factors sportsbooks might miss: updated injury reports, weather impacts, referee tendencies, and advanced player metrics. Our average edge on recommended picks is 8-12%, meaning long-term profitability when following our system.
How do line movements affect MLB props?
Line movements indicate where smart money is betting. When lines move toward our pick, it confirms our analysis. When lines move away, it might signal we found value before the market corrected. DeepChamp AI tracks line movements in real-time and adjusts recommendations accordingly, helping you bet at optimal times.
What's the juice on MLB prop bets?
Juice (or vig) is the sportsbook's commission, typically 10% on standard props. DeepChamp AI accounts for juice in all calculations and recommends line shopping to minimize costs. We only recommend props where the value exceeds the juice, ensuring positive expected value even after accounting for sportsbook fees.
Does DeepChamp AI guarantee winning MLB bets?
No legitimate service can guarantee wins in sports betting. DeepChamp AI focuses on long-term profitability through consistent value identification and proper bankroll management. Our 66.7% win rate demonstrates sustained success, but individual results will vary. We promote responsible gambling and realistic expectations.
How accurate are DeepChamp AI's MLB predictions?
DeepChamp AI maintains a 66.7% win rate on MLB predictions, significantly above the 52.4% needed to break even. We track all picks transparently and provide detailed performance metrics. Our accuracy comes from advanced statistical modeling and comprehensive data analysis, not luck or guesswork.
Can I trust DeepChamp AI with my MLB bets?
DeepChamp AI builds trust through: transparent win/loss tracking, detailed reasoning for each pick, consistent methodology, and honest disclaimers about risks. We never claim guarantees and always promote responsible gambling. Our 66.7% win rate and growing user base demonstrate consistent value delivery.
How does DeepChamp AI's MLB algorithm work?
Our algorithm processes multiple data streams: player statistics, team performance, injury reports, weather data, and market movements. Machine learning models identify patterns and calculate true probability for each prop. The system then compares these probabilities to sportsbook odds to identify value bets with positive expected value.
What makes DeepChamp AI's MLB model unique?
Our model uniquely combines: real-time data processing, advanced statistical analysis, market inefficiency detection, and continuous learning from results. Unlike static models, DeepChamp AI adapts to changing conditions and improves over time, maintaining our competitive edge in MLB prop betting.
How often does DeepChamp AI update MLB analysis?
DeepChamp AI updates MLB analysis continuously throughout the day. Our system monitors: injury reports, lineup changes, weather conditions, line movements, and market activity. This real-time updating ensures you always have the most current analysis when making betting decisions.
Can I get DeepChamp AI's MLB picks on my phone?
Yes! DeepChamp AI is available as a mobile app for iOS, providing instant access to MLB picks, analysis, and real-time updates. The mobile app includes: push notifications for new picks, easy bet tracking, and offline access to your recent analyses. Download now for immediate access to today's best MLB props.
How do I download DeepChamp AI for MLB betting?
Download DeepChamp AI from the App Store by searching "DeepChamp AI" or visiting: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepbet-ai/id6742149750. The app is free to download with premium features available through subscription. Start with our free tier to experience the analysis quality before upgrading.
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