Smart WNBA & MLB Prop Bets to Target on July 24th, 2025

José Ramírez is positioned for a strong outing to achieve Over 0.5 RBIs against the Baltimore Orioles. His season-long consistency in driving in runs, evidenced by 63 RBIs in 98 games, provides a solid foundation for this prop. The matchup against an opposing pitcher with a high ERA of 6.08 is particularly enticing.

A pitcher struggling to limit baserunners creates ample opportunities for a potent hitter like Ramírez, who typically bats in a crucial cleanup spot, to come to the plate with runners in scoring position. The Cleveland Guardians offense, averaging 3.79 runs per game, also contributes to a favorable game script. This suggests Ramírez will likely see plenty of opportunities to drive in runs as his teammates get on base.

Progressive Field, while generally neutral, offers consistent playing conditions that do not detract from Ramírezs ability to perform. The early start time is a factor, but Ramírezs established rhythm and the identified pitching vulnerability are the primary drivers for this selection. The value proposition is significant, with a notable 6.2% betting edge.

This indicates that the market odds do not fully reflect Ramírezs statistical probability of securing at least one RBI. The 7/10 value rating further underscores the attractiveness of this bet, suggesting a favorable risk-reward scenario based on the available data and expert assessment of the matchup dynamics.

Ryan Mountcastle presents a compelling opportunity for Over 1.5 Total Bases against the Cleveland Guardians. His consistent performance at the plate, characterized by a strong batting average and power numbers, makes him a reliable option for accumulating bases. While specific recent game streaks are not detailed, his overall season performance suggests he is in good form and capable of exceeding this prop.

The analysis of 58 player props for hits and home runs for the days MLB slate identified Mountcastle as a strong candidate. His typical batting position in the heart of the Baltimore Orioles order (3rd or 4th) maximizes his plate appearances and increases his chances of hitting for extra bases. This strategic lineup placement ensures he often comes to bat with runners on base, enhancing his potential to record multiple bases.

While Progressive Field is considered neutral to slightly pitcher-friendly, its consistent conditions do not hinder a hitter of Mountcastles caliber from accumulating total bases. His ability to make quality contact, indicated by a strong hard-hit rate and expected slugging, further supports the likelihood of him hitting for extra bases. The absence of significant line movement suggests market stability, reinforcing the initial assessment of value.

The Orioles potent offense provides Mountcastle with lineup protection, and the teams overall offensive strength means he is likely to face favorable pitching situations throughout the game. The early afternoon start time is a situational factor that was considered, but Mountcastles established performance metrics suggest he can overcome any minor adjustments required for an earlier game.

Breanna Stewart of the New York Liberty is projected to exceed her points prop of 19.5 against the Phoenix Mercury. Her season average of 19.6 points per game (PPG) already places her marginally above the line, indicating a natural tendency to clear this threshold. The implied probability for the Over, derived from the Under at -130, suggests bookmakers see a slightly higher chance of her staying under, creating a potential value opportunity for bettors if her true probability is higher. The Libertys recent 4-game winning streak signifies strong team momentum, which often translates to elevated individual performances from key players like Stewart.

Playing at Barclays Center, their home court, is expected to provide a significant boost due to familiarity and crowd support. As a cornerstone player, Stewart is a guaranteed starter with no reported injury or load management concerns, ensuring she will receive her full complement of minutes and be central to the Libertys offensive schemes. The matchup against the Phoenix Mercury, with the Liberty favored by 6.5 points, suggests a game script where New York is expected to control the tempo. This can lead to more offensive possessions and opportunities for Stewart to score.

While the specific defensive capabilities of the Mercury against forwards are not detailed, Stewarts elite scoring ability generally allows her to perform effectively against various defensive schemes. The projected game total of around 170 points indicates an average pace, providing sufficient possessions for Stewart to accumulate her scoring total. The value assessment for this prop is rated at 7/10, reflecting a moderate opportunity based on her consistent performance, central role, and the home-court advantage. The bet at even money (+100) offers a favorable risk-reward proposition.