The WNBA & NFL Prop Betting Report: August 22nd, 2025

Nneka Ogwumike presents a compelling case for exceeding her rebound total of 7.5 against the Dallas Wings. Her established role as Seattles premier rebounder guarantees significant opportunities. Despite the Storms recent struggles, their competitive outing against the Chicago Sky suggests an ability to generate production, and Ogwumike is central to that. Her individual form remains robust, as evidenced by her consistent presence as a leading scorer and rebounder.

The matchup history favors Seattle, who have won two of their three meetings against Dallas this season. This familiarity often allows star players like Ogwumike to assert their dominance, particularly against the Wings frontcourt. Her position as the primary inside presence ensures she will be actively involved in rebounding battles throughout the game. The 40-minute WNBA game format inherently provides ample time for players to accumulate statistics, and a competitive game script is anticipated.

Both teams tend to play at a pace that facilitates numerous possessions, thereby increasing the volume of rebound chances available. Ogwumikes high usage rate and central role in the Storms offensive strategy ensure she will be on the court for critical minutes, maximizing her statistical upside. From a statistical perspective, Ogwumike is projected to surpass 7.5 rebounds with a 65% true probability, yielding a significant 10.0% edge over the sportsbooks implied probability. This translates to an expected value of 22.3%, making this a premier play with a strong analytical advantage.

The current odds of -122 offer excellent entry point value, as the market has not fully priced in her consistent rebounding prowess.

James Conner is positioned as a premier Anytime Touchdown option for the Arizona Cardinals against the New Orleans Saints, primarily due to his entrenched role as the teams goal-line back. Last season, Conner demonstrated his scoring prowess by averaging 0.67 rushing touchdowns per game over 15 appearances, a testament to his reliability in high-leverage situations. The Cardinals offensive line, returning four starters from the previous season, should provide a stable run-blocking foundation, creating favorable running lanes for Conner. The matchup against the Saints defense presents a statistically advantageous scenario.

New Orleans allowed an average of 4.4 yards per carry last season and ranked 16th in the league in rushing yards allowed. This indicates a defense that can be susceptible to the run, particularly against a determined back like Conner. His projected workload, estimated at 15-20 carries and 3-5 targets, along with an expected 65-75% snap share, ensures he will be heavily involved regardless of the game script. Conners consistent presence in the red zone and his explicit usage in goal-line situations are critical factors.

This established role within the Cardinals offensive scheme significantly elevates his touchdown-scoring probability. The odds of -135 imply a 57.4% probability of scoring, but our analysis suggests his true probability is closer to 63.2%, yielding a substantial 10.1% edge. This prop offers excellent value, with an estimated 63.2% probability of scoring against the implied 57.4%. The continuity of the Cardinals offensive line and Conners proven track record as a red-zone threat make this a compelling bet.

His projected workload and role within the offense remain consistent, unaffected by potential game flow changes, solidifying his touchdown-scoring potential.

Travis Etienne Jr. emerges as a standout value play for an Anytime Touchdown at +170 odds against the Carolina Panthers. As the Jacksonville Jaguars undisputed lead back, Etienne demonstrated significant scoring capability throughout the 2023 season, tallying 12 total touchdowns. His consistent production, averaging 62.2 rushing yards per game and a strong 4.4 yards per carry, underscores his ability to find the end zone.

The matchup against the Panthers defense is particularly attractive. Carolina ranked 18th in rushing yards allowed and 19th in rushing touchdowns allowed in 2023, indicating a unit that struggles to contain opposing running backs. This defensive vulnerability, coupled with Etiennes proven red zone efficiency—evidenced by 42 red zone touches and 19 goal-line carries last season—creates a high-probability scoring environment. Etienne is projected to command a significant workload, with an estimated 15-18 carries, including 2-3 crucial goal-line opportunities.

His expected snap share of 60-65% as the featured back further solidifies his chances. The odds of +170 imply a 37.0% probability of scoring, but our analysis suggests a true probability of 50%, yielding an exceptional 13.0% edge. The Jaguars offensive scheme, which leans towards establishing the run, especially near the goal line, further bolsters Etiennes touchdown upside. His effectiveness within the zone running schemes employed by Jacksonville also aligns well against a Panthers defense that allowed 4.3 yards per carry on such plays last season.

The Jaguars offensive line, ranked 14th in run blocking efficiency, provides a solid platform for Etienne to succeed against Carolinas defensive front.