Top NFL Prop Betting Picks: November 1st, 2025

Travis Etienne Jr. presents a compelling proposition for an anytime touchdown scorer, driven by his consistent efficiency and a highly favorable matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders defense. Etienne Jr. has established himself as the focal point of the Jaguars offensive attack, consistently demonstrating his ability to gain tough yards and find the end zone. His yards per carry average of 5.3 underscores his effectiveness as a runner, providing a strong foundation for consistent volume and scoring opportunities. The Raiders defense, allowing an average of 25.7 points per game, is particularly vulnerable, especially against the run, where they concede a notable 93.7 rushing yards per contest.

This defensive weakness is precisely where Etienne Jr. thrives, making him a prime candidate to cross the goal line. The Jaguars offensive scheme, coupled with their projected status as favorites, further bolsters Etienne Jr.s touchdown prospects. A positive game script typically translates to a run-heavy approach in the second half, designed to control the clock and extend leads. This scenario directly benefits Etienne Jr., as he is expected to receive a significant workload, including crucial carries in short-yardage and red-zone situations. His touch rate of 41.2% per snap highlights his critical role in high-leverage moments, ensuring he is on the field and involved when the Jaguars are most likely to score.

The combination of his individual talent, the opponents defensive deficiencies, and the projected game flow creates a potent recipe for a touchdown. Furthermore, regression analysis suggests that while his yardage might stabilize, his scoring efficiency is poised for positive correction. This indicates that Etienne Jr. is due for a strong performance in the touchdown column, making the anytime touchdown prop a statistically sound bet. His consistent snap count of over 41 snaps per game ensures he has ample opportunity to impact the game offensively. With no significant injury concerns impacting his availability or workload, Etienne Jr.

is positioned to be the primary beneficiary of the Jaguars offensive efforts, particularly near the goal line against a defense that struggles to contain strong running backs.

Kyler Murray presents a compelling case for an anytime touchdown scorer, primarily due to his consistent rushing prowess and a highly exploitable matchup against the Dallas Cowboys defense. Murray has demonstrated a remarkable ability to find the end zone on the ground, averaging 0.5 rushing touchdowns per game and scoring in 11 of his last 20 contests. This consistent production highlights his dual-threat capabilities and his importance to the Cardinals red-zone offense. The Cowboys defense, in particular, has shown a significant vulnerability to quarterback rushes, ranking as the worst in the NFL in this category and allowing the most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks this season. This defensive deficiency creates a significant leverage point for Murray.

His mobility allows him to extend plays, scramble for first downs, and, crucially, find running lanes for touchdowns. The historical data further supports this pick, with Murray scoring rushing touchdowns in four of his last five games against the Cowboys. This track record indicates a comfort level and a historical success rate when facing this specific opponent, suggesting he knows how to exploit their defensive schemes. The projected close game script is another crucial factor. Unlike blowout scenarios that can limit a quarterbacks rushing opportunities, a tight contest ensures that Murray will be engaged and actively involved in both designed runs and scrambles throughout the game.

This consistent volume of opportunities, combined with the Cowboys specific weakness against mobile quarterbacks, significantly increases his chances of crossing the goal line. Furthermore, the indoor venue at AT&T Stadium eliminates weather concerns, ensuring optimal conditions for Murrays speed and agility to be a decisive factor. The odds for Murrays anytime touchdown are currently hovering between +150 and +200, offering substantial value. This price point, combined with his consistent scoring trend and the favorable matchup, creates a significant edge. While rushing touchdowns can be inherently volatile, Murrays established pattern of production and the specific defensive weaknesses hes set to exploit mitigate some of that variance.

The risk assessment acknowledges his questionable injury status and the Cardinals inconsistent offensive line, but his proven ability to overcome these factors in past performances makes this a high-confidence proposition.