Top NFL Prop Betting Picks: November 11th, 2025

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive inconsistency, particularly in the red zone, sets the stage for Jake Elliott to exceed 1.5 field goals made. The Green Bay Packers boast a strong defense against the run, ranking 11th in the NFL in yards per carry allowed. This defensive strength is projected to limit Saquon Barkleys effectiveness, forcing the Eagles into more passing situations and potentially stalled drives near the goal line.

Furthermore, the absence of starting center Cam Jurgens is a critical factor that is expected to hamper the Eagles ability to convert touchdowns in short-yardage situations. The projected game script, with the Eagles as road underdogs, points towards a closer, potentially lower-scoring contest, which inherently increases the frequency of field goal attempts for both teams, but especially for a kicker on an offense prone to stalling. The Eagles offensive struggles have been a recurring theme, and their inability to consistently punch the ball into the end zone means that drives often stall within field goal range.

This is compounded by the Packers defensive prowess, which is designed to prevent exactly that kind of red-zone success. When drives falter, the logical next step is to send out the kicker, and Elliott has proven himself to be a reliable option. The game being played at Lambeau Field in November, while presenting challenging weather, also means a more physical, potentially lower-scoring game where every point matters, further enhancing the value of field goals.

Jake Elliotts Over 6.5 Kicking Points prop presents a compelling opportunity, anchored by his consistent scoring average and the Eagles offensive limitations. Elliott has been a model of consistency, averaging 7.8 kicking points per game, comfortably exceeding the 6.5-point line. This reliability is further bolstered by his 82.4% field goal efficiency this season, demonstrating his accuracy in converting scoring opportunities.

The Eagles offensive struggles, particularly in the red zone, are a critical factor. They frequently stall drives, leading to field goal attempts rather than touchdowns. This tendency is amplified by the Packers stout run defense, which ranks 11th in the league and is expected to prevent the Eagles from consistently reaching the end zone.

The absence of starting center Cam Jurgens is a significant blow to the Eagles offensive line, directly impacting their ability to execute in short-yardage situations and the red zone. This injury is projected to lead to more stalled drives and, consequently, more field goal attempts for Elliott. The game script, with the Eagles as road underdogs, suggests a competitive contest where every point is crucial, further increasing the reliance on the kicker.

While the projected spread indicates a potential blowout favoring the Packers, even in such scenarios, the Eagles will likely rely on Elliott to put points on the board when they cant find the end zone. The cold weather at Lambeau Field, while a factor for any kicker, is something Elliott has experience with, and his established efficiency suggests he can manage these conditions.

Derrick White is a strong candidate to exceed the Over 2.5 assists alternate line, driven by his recent playmaking surge and a favorable matchup against an injury-depleted Philadelphia 76ers squad. White has been a consistent facilitator for the Boston Celtics, averaging 5.1 assists per game over his last 10 outings. This impressive average provides a substantial floor well above the low 2.5-assist line.

He has demonstrated this consistency by recording three or more assists in a remarkable 8 of his last 10 games, highlighting his reliable contribution in this category. The statistical projection for Whites assists is a robust 7.68, indicating a very high probability of him clearing the 2.5-assist threshold. The 76ers are currently battling significant injuries, most notably the absence of Joel Embiid and Paul George, which severely compromises their defensive integrity.

This defensive weakness forces Philadelphia to rely more on perimeter defense, opening up more opportunities for White to initiate fast breaks and deliver transition assists. The 76ers defensive rotations have been inconsistent due to these injuries, leading to more open looks for opposing guards and increased secondary playmaking chances for White. Historically, White has performed well against the 76ers, averaging 5.5 assists in their prior meetings this season, further solidifying his ability to exploit this matchup.

The game environment at the Wells Fargo Center often lends itself to a fast pace, which is highly beneficial for guard assist totals, and recent 76ers games have seen high possession counts, increasing the potential for assists.