Elite NFL Prop Betting Selections for October 15th, 2025

Stefon Diggs presents a compelling opportunity for an Anytime Touchdown prop, driven by a confluence of consistent elite usage and a highly exploitable defensive matchup. Diggs has maintained a robust floor, averaging 5 receptions and 75 receiving yards over his last three contests, underscoring his reliability as a target. His commanding 25% target share within the Titans offense ensures he is a focal point of their aerial attack, a volume that translates directly into scoring opportunities. The Patriots defense, currently ranked 22nd in passing yards allowed, offers a clear weakness that Diggs is poised to exploit.

Advanced metrics, particularly his efficiency in the red zone and yards per route run, strongly suggest his potential for multiple touchdowns, making the Anytime TD bet particularly attractive. The projected game script leans neutral, indicating a balanced offensive approach from the Titans. This is ideal for Diggs, as it ensures he remains heavily involved without the offense becoming overly reliant on the run. The low blowout risk is also a critical factor; with the Titans holding a 1-5 record, the game is expected to remain competitive, guaranteeing Diggs a full workload and consistent snap share throughout.

His historical performance against the Patriots further bolsters confidence, demonstrating a proven ability to find success against their defensive schemes. The Titans offense is at full strength, meaning there are no significant injury concerns that would redistribute targets away from their primary receiver. Coaching tendencies suggest a balanced attack, which consistently feeds Diggs opportunities across all levels of the field. Diggs route running versatility allows him to attack various coverage schemes, and the Titans offensive line provides adequate protection, giving the quarterback the time needed to find him.

The combination of his consistent production, elite target share, favorable matchup against a struggling pass defense, and the absence of significant negative situational factors paints a clear picture of high scoring potential. The value rating of 8/10 underscores the significant edge derived from these analytical points, suggesting a strong probability of hitting the anytime touchdown mark.

Garrett Wilson stands out as a prime candidate for an Anytime Touchdown bet, primarily due to his established role as the New York Jets undisputed primary offensive weapon and the strategic advantage presented by the Carolina Panthers defensive tendencies. Wilson has already accounted for 4 touchdowns this season, a testament to his high-leverage usage, particularly in scoring situations. The Panthers defensive strength lies heavily in their ability to stifle the run, a characteristic that logically funnels offensive production towards the passing game. This means the Jets will likely need to rely on Wilson to move the chains and find the end zone.

Playing at home also provides a historical performance edge for Wilson, benefiting from the familiarity and energy of the Jets home crowd. The projected game script sees the Jets as slight favorites, suggesting a competitive contest where Wilsons involvement will be crucial for maintaining offensive momentum and scoring opportunities. Despite a recent knee injury, his confirmed participation is a key factor, as it ensures his high target share and snap count remain intact, preventing any redistribution of opportunities to other receivers. His consistent production, with 36 receptions and 4 touchdowns this season, solidifies his status as the Jets most dangerous offensive threat.

The Panthers defensive scheme, while strong overall, has shown a tendency to be less dominant against elite wide receivers when forced to prioritize stopping the run. Wilsons talent and versatility across the route tree make him a difficult matchup for any defense, and this specific scenario amplifies his potential. His target depth (aDOT) and success rate on various routes indicate he can be effective regardless of the defensive coverage. The Jets offensive line must provide adequate pass protection to allow Wilson the time to execute his routes and make plays, a critical element for sustained drives and scoring chances.

The markets confidence in the Jets as slight favorites further supports the expectation of a high-leverage game where Wilson will be heavily involved.

Jonathan Taylor presents an exceptional value proposition for the Over 1.5 Player Touchdowns prop, underpinned by his prolific scoring pace and a highly favorable matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers vulnerable run defense. Taylor has been a touchdown-scoring machine this season, averaging an impressive 1.17 touchdowns per game through his first six contests. This consistent scoring frequency makes the 1.5 touchdown line appear significantly undervalued by the market. His efficiency is further validated by his 603 rushing yards and an outstanding average of 5.3 yards per carry, demonstrating his ability to consistently gain tough yardage and find the end zone. The Chargers defensive weakness against the run is a critical factor that directly plays into Taylors high-volume, high-efficiency style of play.

This matchup is not merely neutral; it represents a significant advantage for the Colts ground game. Our calculated true probability of 45.0% for Taylor to score at least two touchdowns provides an 8.6% edge over the implied probability of 36.4% at the current +175 odds. This substantial edge translates to an excellent Expected Value, signaling a strong betting opportunity. Taylor is fully healthy and has solidified his role as the undisputed primary running back for the Colts, ensuring he receives the consistent workload and, crucially, the red zone opportunities necessary to hit this multi-touchdown prop. The Colts offensive strategy often leans on controlling the clock with the run, a tendency that directly supports Taylors high carry count and goal-line usage.

Even if the game script shifts, Taylors importance as a clock-control weapon remains. The game is projected to be competitive, minimizing the risk of a blowout that would curtail his usage. His secure role as the lead back protects his snap share against potential rotational risks, and the absence of any injury concerns ensures he is operating at peak efficiency. Coaching tendencies indicate a trust in Taylor to finish drives, confirming his priority in scoring situations. This combination of elite personal performance, a weak opposing run defense, and a secure, high-volume role makes the Over 1.5 touchdowns bet a standout play.